CryptoPunk #4843 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Frumpy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.9 ETH (about $70,264). 1σ range 28.4 to 33.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.2 to 36.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 33.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.2 to 36.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5938 2025-12-10: 29.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1347 2024-11-11: 30.5 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-28: 15.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-10: 18.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-26: 103 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-09-30: 109 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-06: 111 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-09-29: 27.3 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-07-20: 41.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.