CryptoPunk #4845 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Do-rag, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.2 ETH (about $80,141). 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3624 2026-05-05: 34.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3624 2026-02-06: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3945 2026-01-24: 39.0 ETH (42.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9567 2025-11-05: 33.0 ETH (27.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7806 2025-07-01: 39.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8751 2025-05-23: 48.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6479 2025-05-18: 58.4 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6479 2025-05-15: 51.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-26: 4.45 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-17: 10.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-12: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-05-22: 48.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-05: 47.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-15: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-10: 53.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.