CryptoPunk #4853 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Peak Spike, Vape, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,551). 1σ range 29.2 to 34.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 38.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 34.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 38.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-07-31: 35.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-07-04: 34.4 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-06-04: 31.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2830 2026-04-22: 35.5 ETH (36.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-04-07: 27.8 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-02-12: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.