CryptoPunk #4856 valuation (beta)
Male, Headband, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $79,225). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 250 ETH, 25.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8159 2026-10-09: 35.9 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9837 2025-08-19: 52.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6467 2025-08-12: 57.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9837 2025-08-09: 60.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9837 2025-07-26: 58.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.