CryptoPunk #4859 valuation (beta)
Female, Wild Blonde, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $72,680). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 33.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 33.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4099 2026-04-30: 64.9 ETH (64.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #603 2025-08-09: 64.7 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #603 2025-07-20: 52.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #603 2025-06-17: 47.1 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #603 2025-05-13: 58.9 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5264 2026-10-24: 31.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-08-08: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-06: 48.8 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-06: 48.8 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-07: 48.1 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-07: 48.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.