CryptoPunk #4860 valuation (beta)
Female, Orange Side, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.5 ETH (about $98,233). 1σ range 34.9 to 47.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 54.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 75.0 ETH, 4.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.9 to 47.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 54.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Orange Side +27%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1930 2026-10-31: 33.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5084 2026-10-27: 31.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5084 2026-10-19: 28.7 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1930 2026-10-15: 29.6 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1930 2026-10-15: 29.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4140 2026-10-07: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7897 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.