CryptoPunk #4865 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $87,188). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1824 2026-10-02: 45.5 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1824 2026-07-22: 34.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-08: 25.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.