CryptoPunk #4876 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Police Cap, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $71,436). 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 106 ETH, 14.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9901 2026-01-20: 120 ETH (132 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-10-06: 49.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-09-23: 47.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7075 2025-07-17: 43.5 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-07-14: 44.7 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-07-13: 43.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6035 2025-07-02: 45.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.