CryptoPunk #4890 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Bandana, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,827). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 147 ETH, 14.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.1 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-04: 30.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-05-22: 0.45 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-17: 125 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.