CryptoPunk #4894 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Wild Hair, Vape, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.3 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 150 ETH, 12.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.3 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-01: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (42.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1923 2026-06-25: 34.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1923 2026-06-25: 30.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4791 2026-04-25: 27.7 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-04: 29.4 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-11-06: 112 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-11-16: 132 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-01: 110 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.