CryptoPunk #4899 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Dark Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 10,000 ETH, 103.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6668 2026-02-20: 33.7 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9152 2025-10-08: 49.6 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5702 2025-09-12: 58.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9152 2025-07-20: 48.7 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9152 2025-06-18: 41.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9152 2025-05-19: 46.2 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5702 2024-11-15: 34.8 ETH (27.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-03: 17.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.