CryptoPunk #4915 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Stringy Hair, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,620). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3235 2026-09-23: 32.4 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-12: 30.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8730 2025-12-15: 26.4 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3121 2025-11-08: 34.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3121 2025-11-07: 32.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3121 2025-11-05: 36.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8730 2025-04-24: 43.2 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-12-07: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-06: 2.25 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-12-18: 3.10 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-21: 4.60 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-14: 60.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.