CryptoPunk #492 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Shaved Head, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,408). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3654 2024-11-15: 38.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8607 2026-08-26: 33.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8607 2026-08-26: 31.2 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9335 2026-08-19: 33.5 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9335 2026-04-23: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9119 2026-02-06: 33.8 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.