CryptoPunk #4929 valuation (beta)
Female, Mohawk Thin, Cigarette, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.9 ETH (about $70,176). 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3859 2026-10-08: 36.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5931 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6096 2026-09-15: 34.9 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7924 2026-04-29: 30.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7924 2026-03-01: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6096 2025-11-21: 29.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3961 2025-08-10: 75.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #714 2025-08-08: 52.4 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-06: 15.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-23: 13.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-23: 20.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.