CryptoPunk #4930 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Spots, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4105 2026-06-05: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2409 2026-06-05: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7834 2026-06-05: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-05-16: 31.8 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-01-09: 27.7 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3961 2025-08-10: 75.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #669 2025-06-05: 48.8 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #669 2025-05-13: 47.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-04: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-15: 6.99 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-23: 5.30 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 63.1 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-01: 65.5 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2022-11-10: 62.6 ETH (sale)
- 2023-09-20: 45.3 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.