CryptoPunk #4933 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Front Beard, Mohawk Dark.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.8 ETH (about $67,711). 1σ range 27.2 to 32.6 ETH, 2σ range 24.9 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.2 to 32.6 ETH, 2σ range 24.9 to 35.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Front Beard -7%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8788 2026-04-28: 31.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9305 2026-02-11: 31.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2026-02-02: 28.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2026-02-01: 26.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9465 2026-01-03: 28.4 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2025-07-13: 40.8 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-06-25: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-09: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-26: 67.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-07-29: 74.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-13: 48.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-01-11: 57.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.