CryptoPunk #4940 valuation (beta)
Male, Hoodie, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 121 ETH (about $276,178). 1σ range 62.4 to 236 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 460 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 121 ETH (beta), 1σ range 62.4 to 236 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 460 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7360 2026-07-03: 140 ETH (129 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1925 2025-12-02: 195 ETH (191 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7162 2025-07-24: 115 ETH (69.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7162 2025-01-25: 112 ETH (82.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1925 2025-01-25: 125 ETH (91.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-02: 40.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-11: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 198 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-16: 150 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.