CryptoPunk #4949 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Wild Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9945 2026-07-27: 38.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6223 2026-05-04: 31.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1035 2026-02-01: 27.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6598 2025-07-25: 54.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #588 2025-04-02: 53.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4152 2025-02-25: 34.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9288 2024-12-19: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9288 2024-12-12: 42.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.