CryptoPunk #4950 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Bandana, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4898 2025-08-13: 58.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7786 2025-07-23: 50.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3721 2025-02-05: 39.9 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3721 2025-01-17: 35.8 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #302 2024-11-30: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7304 2024-11-21: 35.5 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7218 2024-11-14: 32.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-05: 19.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-05: 36.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-04-09: 45.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.