CryptoPunk #4952 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Shaved Head, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,408). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8682 2025-09-28: 45.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4689 2026-06-27: 38.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4689 2025-12-25: 27.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8671 2025-11-26: 37.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8407 2025-10-27: 100 ETH (76.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8116 2025-09-10: 49.4 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8116 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4689 2025-08-13: 55.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-04-06: 60.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-08-21: 57.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.