CryptoPunk #4956 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Purple Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,425). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9390 2026-02-26: 32.8 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4160 2025-08-25: 54.0 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4160 2025-01-23: 43.5 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4160 2024-11-12: 31.7 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-08: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-17: 5.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-09: 6.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-29: 170 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.