CryptoPunk #4968 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.4 ETH (about $78,261). 1σ range 31.6 to 37.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.6 to 37.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4793 2025-05-11: 44.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8992 2026-07-19: 30.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-26: 1.21 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 21.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-11: 21.1 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-16: 22.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.