CryptoPunk #497 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.7 ETH (about $78,791). 1σ range 31.8 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.8 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9243 2025-03-21: 38.8 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3380 2025-03-05: 41.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9243 2025-01-17: 38.4 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3380 2024-11-15: 40.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-24: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-20: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-07: 19.9 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-29: 23.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.