CryptoPunk #4970 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Purple Hair, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.8 ETH (about $77,076). 1σ range 29.3 to 34.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 37.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 34.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 37.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Handlebars -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4160 2025-08-25: 54.0 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4160 2025-01-23: 43.5 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7120 2025-01-20: 40.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7120 2024-12-31: 36.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4160 2024-11-12: 31.7 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-05-28: 0.05 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.