CryptoPunk #4973 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Front Beard, Earring, Bandana.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 27.6 ETH (about $62,754). 1σ range 24.5 to 31.1 ETH, 2σ range 21.7 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 27.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.5 to 31.1 ETH, 2σ range 21.7 to 35.1 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mole -7%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8788 2026-04-28: 31.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3771 2025-04-25: 48.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9026 2025-02-03: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9026 2025-01-24: 45.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-06-15: 49.8 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-20: 48.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.