CryptoPunk #4977 valuation (beta)
Male, Vampire Hair, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.2 ETH (about $73,219). 1σ range 29.7 to 34.9 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 37.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.7 to 34.9 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 37.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5388 2025-03-04: 43.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5388 2024-11-28: 45.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9541 2026-09-21: 34.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8557 2026-09-11: 32.3 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-07-31: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2019-12-30: 0.48 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-16: 1.00 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.