CryptoPunk #4993 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Stringy Hair, Cigarette, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $74,432). 1σ range 28.0 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.0 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 37.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3606 2026-07-21: 36.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3315 2026-05-11: 32.2 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-12-04: 0.14 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-12-07: 40.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-12-12: 44.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.