CryptoPunk #5016 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Earring, Do-rag, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.9 ETH (about $79,409). 1σ range 31.7 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 42.4 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 42.4 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Mole -7%, Earring -2%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6755 2026-02-23: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4241 2026-09-22: 36.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-13: 37.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.