CryptoPunk #5056 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Earring, Beanie, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 48.5 ETH (about $117,630). 1σ range 38.9 to 60.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 75.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 15,000 ETH, 25.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 48.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.9 to 60.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 75.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Earring -2%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1941 2026-09-23: 60.5 ETH (54.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4714 2026-05-20: 38.0 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4953 2026-05-11: 34.3 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4855 2026-04-21: 39.0 ETH (42.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4953 2026-03-11: 34.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-23: 0.10 ETH (sale, not used: no-floor)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.