CryptoPunk #506 valuation (beta)
Male, Messy Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,807). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8833 2026-04-03: 39.3 ETH (42.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-30: 31.5 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-23: 30.2 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8833 2025-12-22: 33.5 ETH (37.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8832 2025-04-14: 53.7 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8832 2025-02-10: 40.3 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5542 2024-12-17: 41.8 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2024-11-15: 37.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-01: 2.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-09-08: 2.50 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-12: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-14: 31.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-10: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-26: 94.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.