CryptoPunk #5103 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Frumpy Hair, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.5 ETH (about $87,514). 1σ range 34.2 to 43.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 48.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.2 to 43.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 48.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Frumpy Hair -7%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.1 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-04: 30.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8407 2025-10-27: 100 ETH (76.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-26: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-25: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-22: 56.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-30: 57.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.