CryptoPunk #5104 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Cigarette, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.9 ETH (about $81,671). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7806 2025-07-01: 39.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7806 2024-11-14: 37.0 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1106 2026-04-22: 30.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2830 2026-04-22: 35.5 ETH (36.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8086 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-30: 0.19 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-13: 12.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-10: 18.4 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-09-29: 119 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-15: 58.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.