CryptoPunk #5110 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Earring, Crazy Hair, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $78,468). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 95.0 ETH, 10.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Goat -7%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8264 2026-10-14: 55.0 ETH (52.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-23: 29.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-24: 70.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-08-21: 33.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.