CryptoPunk #5114 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.2 ETH (about $75,574). 1σ range 30.4 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 39.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 300 ETH, 24.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.4 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 39.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5329 2026-08-13: 33.1 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5329 2026-08-08: 32.8 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4523 2026-08-07: 58.0 ETH (53.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.