CryptoPunk #5121 valuation (beta)
Female, Tassle Hat, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.0 ETH (about $84,034). 1σ range 33.2 to 41.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 45.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 190 ETH, 15.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 41.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 45.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2682 2026-07-02: 37.0 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2682 2026-06-29: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2682 2026-04-21: 27.5 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8485 2025-01-03: 37.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6626 2024-11-29: 41.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5040 2026-10-31: 28.3 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5040 2026-10-30: 27.8 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.