CryptoPunk #5123 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.2 ETH (about $66,347). 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.1 to 35.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.1 to 35.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1393 2026-05-23: 33.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #715 2025-06-29: 42.1 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #715 2025-06-29: 40.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5635 2026-10-04: 33.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1824 2026-10-02: 45.5 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-22: 21.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-03: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-22: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 78.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-03: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-26: 100 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-09-28: 104 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-30: 114 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.