CryptoPunk #5140 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Earring, Headband, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.2 ETH (about $84,676). 1σ range 33.3 to 41.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 50.0 ETH, 2.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.3 to 41.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7463 2026-02-26: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-19: 31.9 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-12: 33.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1613 2025-09-24: 48.8 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1613 2025-09-22: 44.0 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-20: 46.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-16: 43.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-08: 42.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-14: 4.50 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-13: 7.95 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 24.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-12: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-07: 27.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.