CryptoPunk #5146 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Messy Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,580). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4771 2026-02-05: 27.3 ETH (27.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8295 2025-11-03: 54.7 ETH (45.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4771 2025-07-22: 49.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8619 2025-05-26: 64.0 ETH (41.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-31: 6.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-15: 60.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-17: 65.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.