CryptoPunk #5157 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Peak Spike, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.0 ETH (about $99,432). 1σ range 35.6 to 47.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 54.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.6 to 47.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 54.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Peak Spike -6%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8990 2026-02-24: 35.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6012 2026-01-20: 44.4 ETH (49.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2124 2025-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7839 2025-11-09: 36.3 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7839 2025-10-18: 45.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-30: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 94.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.