CryptoPunk #516 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Cowboy Hat, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 128 ETH (about $292,112). 1σ range 64.2 to 257 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 515 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 128 ETH (beta), 1σ range 64.2 to 257 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 515 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Cowboy Hat +96%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9170 2026-02-06: 72.0 ETH (72.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3698 2025-03-14: 86.5 ETH (67.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5699 2025-03-04: 59.0 ETH (49.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3698 2025-01-07: 82.0 ETH (66.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1188 2024-11-12: 53.0 ETH (54.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1824 2026-10-02: 45.5 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-28: 0.60 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.