CryptoPunk #5161 valuation (beta)
Female, Cigarette, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.9 ETH (about $68,066). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Cigarette -2%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4439 2025-09-03: 48.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6933 2025-09-03: 44.4 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6933 2025-08-17: 50.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6933 2025-08-14: 46.2 ETH (27.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6933 2025-08-08: 52.6 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6933 2025-08-02: 53.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6321 2025-02-06: 40.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2222 2024-12-15: 38.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.