CryptoPunk #5169 valuation (beta)
Male, Hoodie, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 103 ETH (about $250,339). 1σ range 57.5 to 186 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 333 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 103 ETH (beta), 1σ range 57.5 to 186 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 333 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Hoodie +237%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7779 2026-10-20: 145 ETH (141 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4059 2026-09-23: 34.5 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9799 2026-08-24: 117 ETH (110 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (117 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9799 2026-08-19: 115 ETH (109 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3298 2026-08-17: 140 ETH (132 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-23: 0.20 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-03: 17.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-11: 62.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 200 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-07: 205 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-11-24: 217 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-05-23: 155 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.