CryptoPunk #5170 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Fedora, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.2 ETH (about $84,676). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 65.0 ETH, 5.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4256 2026-07-21: 33.4 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8992 2026-07-19: 30.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7036 2026-06-05: 31.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7383 2026-05-20: 36.4 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.