CryptoPunk #5185 valuation (beta)
Male, Top Hat, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 47.9 ETH (about $116,115). 1σ range 38.8 to 59.2 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 73.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 110 ETH, 3.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 47.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.8 to 59.2 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 73.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2529 2026-09-27: 32.5 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2529 2026-09-22: 35.8 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-10-23: 50.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.