CryptoPunk #5196 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Vampire Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 27.1 ETH (about $61,682). 1σ range 24.1 to 30.6 ETH, 2σ range 21.4 to 34.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 27.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.1 to 30.6 ETH, 2σ range 21.4 to 34.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard -7%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7341 2025-11-17: 30.8 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7646 2025-10-06: 48.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7646 2025-10-04: 48.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-08: 0.05 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-03: 6.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-17: 10.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 14.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-24: 78.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-09: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-12: 65.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.