CryptoPunk #5197 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $83,519). 1σ range 31.6 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.6 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8056 2026-03-10: 50.0 ETH (51.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6406 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1941 2026-09-23: 60.5 ETH (54.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4059 2026-09-23: 34.5 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2290 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-10-08: 5.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-07: 15.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-07: 22.2 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-31: 38.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 64.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-20: 85.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.