CryptoPunk #5203 valuation (beta)
Female, Dark Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $76,400). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5713 2026-10-06: 49.0 ETH (45.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6149 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9945 2026-07-27: 38.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #53 2026-07-21: 49.0 ETH (46.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9710 2026-07-04: 32.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2654 2026-06-30: 86.0 ETH (81.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4566 2026-06-24: 69.0 ETH (66.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8400 2026-06-02: 37.5 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-01-03: 44.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-26: 32.9 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-12-05: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-09: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-15: 30.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.