CryptoPunk #5206 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Shaved Head, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $71,429). 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3606 2026-07-21: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9669 2025-05-09: 50.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2056 2025-04-17: 53.0 ETH (37.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2025-04-02: 60.0 ETH (42.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2025-03-26: 57.0 ETH (41.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2025-02-28: 49.5 ETH (43.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2025-01-06: 53.0 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-11-16: 75.8 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-24: 36.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-23: 55.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.