CryptoPunk #5207 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Mohawk Dark.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.0 ETH (about $63,625). 1σ range 25.1 to 31.2 ETH, 2σ range 22.5 to 34.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.1 to 31.2 ETH, 2σ range 22.5 to 34.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1668 2025-07-28: 53.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1241 2026-10-03: 35.2 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-18: 39.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-02: 68.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-12: 74.2 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-13: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-18: 72.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.