CryptoPunk #5209 valuation (beta)
Male, Vampire Hair, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.2 ETH (about $78,035). 1σ range 29.7 to 34.9 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 37.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.7 to 34.9 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 37.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1590 2026-02-07: 37.8 ETH (38.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1590 2025-07-20: 50.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-16: 0.81 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-26: 1.75 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-26: 4.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-04: 4.49 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-24: 3.75 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-18: 1.75 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-12-18: 2.80 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-23: 3.80 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-05: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-23: 75.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.